Guildford Property Market update - February 2020

It appears that the prospects for an upturn in activity in the property market have been realised since the result of the General Election was announced, according to data from activity on the Rightmove portal over the last month.

The UK Market

According to the latest Rightmove Price Index report there has been an increase of 2.3% in the price of property coming to market this past month; and over 1.3 million buyer enquiries since election, which is up by 15% compared to the same period a year ago, to suggest there will be an active spring market ahead. There has also been an increase of 7.4% growth in the number of sales agreed this past month as sellers have acted quickly to beat the Spring rush.

Furthermore there were almost 65,000 properties marketed between the 8th December and the 11th January, which is the largest monthly rise that Rightmove have ever recorded at this time of year. This suggests therefore that these new sellers are feeling a surge of optimism. The number of enquiries made to estate agents were also up by 15%, compared to the same period last year, to suggest demand was on the increase. This then led to a 7.4% increase in the number of sales agreed over the same period.

Whether this is a sign of the pent up demand being released will remain to be seen over forthcoming months but it does appear that some sellers have moved quickly as was anticipated over the Christmas and New Year period.

The Guildford Market

There were 23 additional properties added in the last 14 days mainly replacing those taken off towards the end of last year so have been relisted, and in some cases with a new agent in the expectation that they will have more success. Overall stock levels therefore remain constant although there do appear to be more detached properties currently for sale. The average asking price for this type of property has marginally increased too.

The number of properties taken off market having been listed for between between 2 and 4 months might suggest that a number of offers were accepted towards the run up to the end of 2019. Alternatively this might also confirm the point above that vendors decided to de-list and then relist after the news regarding the General Election and the start of a New Year.

The average time taken to sell properties in Guildford over the last 90 days remains at 154 days, with half of the sales taking place within 78 days.

According to the latest data from Land Registry (available up until November 2019) approximately the same number of properties sold at a slightly higher average price of £498,595 in Guildford due to more detached properties being sold in the last month.

Having talked with local residents there does seem to be greater confidence in the market about the prospects for selling their property in the short term though one overriding comment made was that they feared how the growth of Guildford property prices in recent years will challenge those wanting to get onto the property ladder or to upsize. Having said this, many residents are sitting comfortably having decided to stay in their homes for the long term and experienced wealth that they could never have forecast at the time they purchased their home.

See you again soon for next month's property update to discover whether this initial feeling of optimism, that the New Year and the release of some of the pent up demand have brought, will be realised with a growth in property sales over the forthcoming months.

To request a copy of the latest Rightmove Price Index report featured in this update, please call 01483 320207 or text 07786 965631. Always happy to have a chat about the local property market too.

Investment decision: Lindfield Gardens v Tormead Road

A landlord came to our office for advice recently asking whether he should invest by buying a five bedroom house in a more affluent area within a short distance of the town centre to let to a large family or to sharers. They were considering the residential area bordered by London Road, Epsom Road, Cross Lanes and Boxgrove Road.

We did some research and found a spacious sized five bedroom townhouse in Lindfield Gardens, with views over Stoke Park and on the bus route into the town centre and then onwards to the Surrey Research Park and Royal Surrey County Hospital.

This property was available for £575,000 and could be let out for £2,750 per month as a family single let to achieve an annual gross yield of 5.7%; or to young professionals (subject to receiving an HMO licence) for £3,850 per month, to achieve an annual gross yield of 8%.

Lindfield Gardens - townhouses

Properties in this area are very popular with families because there are a number of private schools located close by. These include Tormead, Lanesborough, Guildford High School plus George Abbot School so there is great demand from investors and tenants alike, making it a relatively good investment area within a desirable part of town.

Tormead Road is located within a 10-15 minutes walk of the town centre. London Road railway station is nearby, to provide links to both Guildford mainline and all stations to London Waterloo. Spectrum Sports Centre is located on the edge of Stoke Park and Merrow Downs are not far away, so active families are able to enjoy both town and country life here.

A place on which to reflect in Tormead Road

We then compared the property in Lindfield Gardens with a more spacious and therefore bigger five bedroomed detached house on Tormead Road to determine if the landlord would gain more financially, by buying there. The two streets are just five minutes walk apart so provide a useful comparison within the same area of Guildford.

A 5 bedroom detached house in Tormead Road was sold recently for £892,450 with a rental value of £3,350. While a more desirable road and mainly owner occupied it is unlikely to attract sharers as the nearest transport links may be considered too far away.

This means it is likely to be a family single let so while the rental will be £600 per month greater than the single let rental value for Lindfield Gardens it will not attract the premium rental for a shared property. The annual gross yield will be lower than the property in Lindfield Gardens, at 4.5% but the potential capital gain greater having invested more for the property in Tormead Road, will be greater.

Tormead Road

This shows that while properties can achieve a higher rent than others in the same geographical location it does not always suggest there will be higher returns for the investor.

More importantly an investor could purchase an investment property in this desirable area, where there is high demand for rental property, for a lot less than they might have thought possible all because they have done their due diligence on the type of properties available, and at what price, on various roads within a specific area.

In this instance our landlord will have the advantage of being able to offer his tenants the benefit of being located across the road from Stoke Park and on a major bus route, so both parties will be happy.

If you would like any advice on doing your due diligence when choosing properties in a particular area of Guildford or a general discussion on investment opportunities in the area your call will always be welcome. Phone 01483 320207.

Where would Santa Claus invest in Guildford?

A landlord dressed as Father Christmas came to see me the other day and asked if the real Father Christmas wanted to invest in property, so he could have somewhere to put his feet up and therefore call "home", where would it be?

Well obviously it would have to have a chimney that would "stack up" with sufficient room for his reindeer, Rudolph, and accommodation for himself and Mrs Claus but most importantly a grotto to which local children could come to meet him and collect their presents. 

This would require a fairly large garden in which he could dig down to build a cave and therefore create the grotto. The garage would have to be fairly large not only to store the sleigh for Rudolph and all the presents but somewhere for the elves to pack the presents ready for delivery to all the children.

Having considered this requirement for a second, it suddenly dawned upon us. We knew the very place. It would be ideal. It would be located in a village just outside Guildford with a population of just 2,981 living in 1,310 households. The local area has woods and several commons ideal for Rudolph to munch grass and to play with all the other local four legged residents.

The property would be located at Christmas Pie Avenue, in the village of Christmas Pie, one of the most festive sounding street names in the U.K.

The curious name of Christmas Pie owes its name to a property once owned by a prominent local family named Christmas. They were major landowners during the 17th and 18th century. 

"Pie" is a word derived from the Saxon term "pightel" or "pightle" meaning a small piece of arable land. Until the area was built up during the 1920s there was a small field called "Pie Field" located near the Christmas Pie crossroads not far from the village of Wanborough.

The village is the home to Christmaspie Cottages, converted from the original Christmaspie Farm built circa 1823 which probably took its name from the association with the Christmas family. Nearby Santa will be able to work off a bit of his Christmas dinner on the local Christmas Pie Trail, a 8.5 miles long, leisure cycle route running from the northwest edge of Guildford to the east side of Farnham. 

Santa would not have to wait too long to buy in Christmas Pie Avenue because properties do tend to sell frequently. There have been 59 property sales since the beginning of 1995, and 4 in the last 12 months. 

Local bungalows all with chimneys designed for Santa Claus

Many owner occupiers are couples and families so Santa will not have far to travel to deliver presents to the local children. The majority of properties in Christmas Pie are bungalows so Santa will not have to negotiate too far down to the Christmas tree to drop off the presents either.

Now that Santa is having to live off a pension and savings and cannot obtain a mortgage because he is now 'elf-employed it is unlikely that he will be able to obtain a mortgage. In any case, there will probably be too many Claus' to comply with. The fact that he seems to be so poor is probably why he is always seen in the red. Fortunately for him, properties in Christmas Pie Avenue are reasonably priced compared to other areas of Guildford so he should be able to afford his purchase there.

For example, the most recent sale was at no 99, in August 2019, when a 2 bed house sold for £390,000. A similar sized property in Guildford town centre would be priced typically around £425,000.

However the current average value of property in Christmas Pie Avenue is £507,700, having risen by 5.3% in the last year and by 201.76% in the last 20 years, which is almost the same percentage at which Santa Claus' waste line has expanded over the same time.

This is my last blog before Christmas so all that remains for me to do is to wish all my readers a very, very Happy Christmas, good heath and lots of fun over the festive season. Ho! Ho! Ho!

Celebrating Christmas for charity in Guildford

If you would like to have a chat about property prices in Guildford or would like to discover where and how you can gain a greater return for your money in the bank call 01483 320207.

Do investment decisions require divine presence?

When speaking to a local landlord recently about buying investment property in the streets surrounded by Rydes Hill, Aldershot Road, Northway and Shepherds Lane he had two questions. The first was why are the roads named after cathedral cities - Canterbury, Durham, Peterborough, Lincoln, Gloucester and Worcester; and secondly would it make sense to buy more investment properties in these roads?

When finding an answer to his first question it did make me wonder. No doubt the streets were named many year's ago but did they have a link to the town having its own cathedral?

Guildford Cathedral, built between 1936 and 1961, is the seat of the Bishop of Guildford.

Guildford Cathedral

Guildford residents have always wondered why the town has not been granted city status. Traditionally this is given to towns with diocesan cathedrals, an association established in the early 1540s when King Henry VIII founded dioceses in six English towns and granted them city status by issuing letters patent and has continued to this day. As of 2014, there were 51 cities in England.

Guildford's 2002 application to be granted the status of a city was unsuccessful, losing out to Preston, the only English town that was formally recognised as a city as part of the Queen's Golden Jubilee celebrations.

No information as to why these streets should be named after cathedral cities in England so one must assume that the local authority named them for no other reason than to celebrate these other cities.

This area attracts landlords because the properties have been relatively inexpensive to purchase and are located within travelling distance of the Surrey Research Park, the University of Surrey, the hospital and the town centre so are suitable for students and young working professionals happy to share their accommodation with others.

Properties in the area covered by Durham Road, Lincoln Road, Canterbury Road, Worcester Road and Durham Close typically comprise 3/4 bedrooms and are currently valued at an average of £337,053. This is an increase of 361% over the last 18 years. Average rents are £1,995 pcm though landlords charging by the room will receive an estimated monthly rental income of between £2,400 and £3,000 depending upon whether they convert a reception room into a bedroom.

Keeping to the theme of cathedrals, Cathedral Close located close to the cathedral and behind the University campus is therefore ideally situated for the tenants living in the roads discussed above.

However the properties located here and in the adjoining road, Ridgemount, are owner-occupied family homes. The average price for a 4 bedroom property here is £840,900 and a typical rental is £2,500 pcm so the gross yield in the roads named after cathedral cities will be nearly three times greater than for the properties in Cathedral Close and Ridgemount.

However, we must remember that yield is not the sole consideration when investing in Buy to Let properties. When compared to the capital growth of 4 bedroom semi-detached properties in the cathedral roads area the properties in Ridgemount have risen by 390% over the same period. Some may say that this is due to divine intervention because Guildford Cathedral overlooks Cathedral Close and Ridgemount but no doubt the reason for the higher capital growth has to be supply and demand.

Nevertheless the landlord would be wise to buy in the roads named after cathedral cities as his objective to maximise gross yield will be realised while gaining capital growth at the same time. History has proving this so there is no need for a miracle to take place.

Dreaming of your first home

If you are in your twenties, or possibly thirties, or you have children of this age then you are probably giving considerable thought to the idea of buying a home for first time buyers. Hopefully you have reached the stage where you are settled in your work and have been saving up for a deposit to consider affording a home.

Whether you are wanting to extricate yourself from your parents house or are tired of renting and paying off someone else's mortgage, especially if you are sharing with others, it's hard not to dream about finding a property to call your own.

The next thought you probably have is will this be possible in Surrey, especially as it has a reputation for property prices that might not be affordable? If you've searched online it can be depressing looking through the many million pound houses for sale around Surrey but as a first-time buyer you're certainly not alone in that respect.

First-time buyers made up more than a third (36%) of all property purchases in 2018, according to Zoopla. These numbers are up by 85%, from 2010.

So, how does Surrey hold up against the national average of a first-time buyer home?

Typical asking prices in Surrey

The national average price for a first-time buyer home purchase is £220,000 so, of course, you would expect to pay more in Surrey. However, if you manage to set your expectations at a realistic level by looking to buy a starter property like a studio or one bed flat, research suggests that studio apartments can be found for as little as £100,000, in Sunbury-on-Thames and Farnham.

More realistically, the average asking price for a one bedroom flat in Surrey, is currently around the £200,000 though this is likely to be located in less desirable areas of the county.

If your desire is to live in Guildford, a studio flat can be found for as little as £150,000 with the average asking price for a one bed flat at around £265,000, only a little higher than the national average.

The facts

Thirty-three is the typical average age of a first-time buyer in the UK, according to the Government’s most recent English Housing Survey (2017/18).

Twenty-nine is the current average number of years for a first-time buyer mortgage term and therefore four years more than the more traditional 25 years recorded just a decade ago.

The average earnings for those living in Guildford is £26,481 so the price earnings figure for those wanting to afford a flat for £265,000 will be 10 times. This is a useful calculation to make when comparing the affordability of one area with another.

Opportunities to reduce your purchase price

There will be instances where a property may be reduced in price because it is not selling (for whatever reason) or where there is work, or modernisation required, so the price can be negotiated downwards to allow a contribution towards the building costs.

There may be the opportunity to purchase a property at a lower price through an auction; or even from the local council, if it is empty and has no proven owner.

However these properties are unlikely to be mortgageable so may need a substantial cash input. In these instances it is always wise to consult with a mortgage broker experienced in funding investment properties.

While Surrey property does cost more doing one's research should unearth more affordable properties. If a first time buyer does manage to get onto the first rung of the property ladder they will potentially realise a capital gain over future years, and if so, this equity will gradually allow them to upscale so you never know, they may even be able to afford the home of their dreams one day to prove that dreams really can come true.

You should have bought in Markenfield Road 10 year's ago!

One of the most frequent questions asked by those starting out in the world of property investment is "when is the best time to start investing?" The response from experienced investors tends to be "10 year's ago". I suppose this is based on the assumption that properties are assumed to double in price every 10 years. The secondary response is "and if not 10 year's ago, the answer is now!"

How are landlord's properties performing?

One of my more established landlord friends has been investing for 10 years so was interested in discussing how his investments in Markenfield Road had performed during this period. I suggested we look at both the sale prices and rental figures achieved for properties in the street during this time. Then we could determine how the gross yield had changed as a result of these price changes.

Markenfield Road

This is a well established street situated opposite the cricket pitch, where Surrey County Cricket Club have played in the past. This pitch is also home to the annual Guildford beer festival. The street is located within a 10 minute walk of Guildford town centre

The properties in this street were built in Edwardian times, all to a similar design. Most comprise of 2 reception rooms, a kitchen and three bedrooms plus bathroom. Many have been extended by moving into the cellar or up into the loft to provide an extra bedroom plus bathroom. Several houses have been extended out to the rear to provide a larger and more modern kitchen.

Ownership status

The last census suggests that half the properties in the road are owner occupied and approximately a quarter are privately rented, so is popular with landlords. In fact one sixth of properties are occupied by more than 3 people suggesting that they are multi-lets.

The majority of owner occupiers are in professional or managerial roles, between the age of 30 and 44 with many being single. The number of degree educated people living here is also greater than the average number in streets local to Markenfield Road. This might have something to do with the proximity of the bars and restaurants in the town centre plus The Stoke Pub and Kings Head pub, at the top of the road. 

The figures

Returning to the figures the average value of a typical 3 bed semi terraced house on Markenfield Road was £245,250 in 2005. This figure had risen sharply to £360,395 by 2007 but dropped back to £335,950 for two years before recovering in 2010. Prices have continued to rise with the average value now standing at £469,900. A house in the street has recently sold for £524,950, a 214% increase in 14 years.

Then the landlord stated that the rents he had achieved on Markenfield Road seemed to be fairly stable over the ten years. In 2005 the average rent was £1,535 per month but is now between £1,695 and £1,850, dependent on the size and quality of the accommodation provided so rents have risen by just 10-20%. 

This is all great news for the landlord because his investment back in 2005 would have achieved a gross yield of 8% and now that rents have increased he is achieving 8.3% where as a landlord investing at today's current prices in Markenfield Road would achieve a gross yield of only 4% i.e.50% less. If the new landlord were to rent out to sharers he might increase his gross yield to 5.5%. 

The answer

It therefore seems that the maxim that states the best time to start investing was 10 year's ago is therefore true. Just imagine what the yield would have been if one had invested (say) 50 years!

If you would like to have a chat regarding property prices in a specific street and how they compare with prices elsewhere in Guildford or to just talk about investment opportunities in general your call will always be welcome. Phone 01483 320207 or email richard.hodgson@newman.uk.com

Six home selling myths debunked

As you go through life you will always find that people are always there to give their advice of opinion whether it's asked for or not. Selling your home is no different. You will discover that suddenly everyone wants to get involved in the process.

Here are six home selling myths uncovered to help you get the most out of the process.

The best time to sell is in the Spring

While homes do sell in Spring they also sell in Summer, Autumn and Winter. The truth may be that people can't be bothered in the Winter so prefer to wait a few weeks until the days are lighter and the weather is brighter. However there is not a best time to sell your home.

You can sell your home by yourself

While estate agent fees may make your toes curl up, going solo can actually be more difficult. There is more to selling a home than just creating a fancy-looking advert. You will also have to arrange viewings; market your home; establish relationships with potential buyers; and filter the offers. Estate agents may get a bad reputation but ultimately they are professionals at selling homes.

Noisy locations are a turn off

Houses near roads and train stations are actually very popular these days as they tend to be  close to transport links and buses. In addition to this window glazing is so advanced nowadays that you would rarely hear traffic noise once inside a property.

Upgrades need to involve major works

People massively overspend on DIY projects in the kitchen and bathroom when in reality so long as these rooms are not too outdated and appear clean potential buyers don't care. Simple improvements often provide the best results so tidy up the front garden, recondition the front door and give the living room a fresh lick of paint.

Price your property high and then reduce the price

This is one of the most common mistakes sellers make. If they price their home too low they might  leave money on the table but price it too high and you could miss out on offers. Instead of pricing your home with space to negotiate you should price your home at what it is worth.

Make the buyer wait

When you receive an offer you should reply straight away. When a buyer makes an offer that buyer is ready to purchase your home. Moods could change and you don't want to lose a sale because you stalled in replying. Some people believe that waiting to reply puts you as a seller in a better negotiating position but that just isn't the case.

Buying a property is a big decision and can be daunting and confusing but hopefully the confusion between fact and fiction has been solved. If you have any questions please get in touch today.

Call 01483 320207 or email richard.hodgson@newman.uk.com

In the meantime why not visit https://instantvaluation.newman.uk.com/ to perform an online valuation for your home to discover how much it might be worth in today's market.

On the right track?

When visiting Guildford railway station at around 6 a:m, one recent morning, I was staggered to see just how busy the platform was for the next train travelling up to London Waterloo. It made me wonder a number of things. How early do these commuters have to get up in the morning; and secondly, have they saved time by buying a property to live in, situated close by to the station?

While we are fortunate to have two railways stations in Guildford plus further stations on the outskirts off the town in Shalford, Worplesdon, Farncombe and Godalming, most passengers travel from Guildford mainline station, possibly because it has so many connections to London and other major towns in the South East.

This is confirmed by a report published in 2015. This studied the number of passenger journeys in and out of the UK's railway stations. The busiest station in the country was London Waterloo with an estimated 99.2m entries and exits in 2014/15, followed by London Victoria with 85.3m suggesting the majority of commuters into London are likely to be living in the South East.

The report confirmed that the busiest station in Surrey (and 40th in the country) was Guildford with 8.1m passenger journeys. Woking was the second busiest (7,462,936 passengers), followed by Epsom (3,740,752), Redhill (3,629,342) and Staines (2,825,096).

So, if Guildford is the busiest railway station in Surrey and people prefer to have a short journey from home to the station how does this affect the property market?

Guildford mainline railway station

There are 54, 147 and 369 properties on Rightmove currently available for sale to prospective buyers looking to move to a location within 1/4, 1/2 and 1 mile of the station respectively, and therefore within a 20 minute walk.

There are currently 305 more flats and houses, of all types, for sale at least a 10 minute walk away (1/2 - 1 mile) than within a 1/4 mile walk, where there are just 56. This might be because much of this area within 1/4 mile of the station is occupied by Network Rail and the University of Surrey. There are more semi-detached properties on the market within a mile of the station than any other type of house, followed by detached and then terraced. One third of the properties on sale in this area are flats.

Zoopla quotes the average price for property in and around the railway station was £558,347 in August 2019 with flats selling for an average of £331,904 and terraced houses for £479,224.

This compares to the area 1/2 mile away from the station where the average price for property stood at £480,553 in August 2019 with flats selling for an average of £187,312 and terraced houses for £474,683.

The average price for property located 1 mile from the railway station stood at £400,884 in August 2019 with flats selling for an average of £331,904 and terraced houses for £402,368.

These figures therefore suggest that it it is more expensive to buy a property close to the station but gets cheaper as one travels further out from this location. This is possibly because there are fewer properties within the 1/4 mile distance so drives up price, or indeed buyers are willing to pay more for a property located close to the station.

However Zoopla also states that property values increased by 14.61%, in the last 5 years, for properties located more than 1/4 mile away from the station but only 11.52% for those located closer to the station.

If you would like to talk to us about property in Guildford please feel free to call me on 01483 600840 or go to https://instantvaluation.newman.uk.com/ to discover how much your property is worth today.